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The North American Gas and Power Scenarios Advisory Service helps clients better understand the changing contours of the industry landscape, recognize key risks and the opportunities, evaluate alternative responses, and gain the strategic flexibility necessary for future success. The service
- Provides an integrated long-term outlook for natural gas and power markets (e.g., policy parameters and market supply and demand conditions) across regional markets in North America, incorporating key drivers such as developments in world liquefied natural gas markets, emerging environmental policy, and regulatory landscape.
- Builds a strong foundation for testing–“wind tunneling”–your company strategy under plausible alternative futures to reveal its strengths and weaknesses, depending on the actual outcomes of uncertain developments.
- Challenges the predominant conventional wisdom and fosters provocative thinking, to better equip organizations to deal with uncertainty and change.
- Is informed by a diverse forum membership, including the unique perspectives of oil and gas producers, electric and gas utilities, independent generators, coal companies, equipment manufacturers, engineering and construction companies, pipeline companies, energy marketers, and financial institutions.
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IHS CERA's North American Gas and Power Scenarios Advisory Service members benefit from
- Access to IHS CERA’s long-term gas and power scenarios to 2030 for North America, including summary of critical findings, scenario storylines and timelines, analysis of the strategic implications for selected industry segments, and detailed regional projections of the supply, demand, and price for the key wholesale gas and power markets in North America
- Semiannual (spring and fall) member meetings to present, analyze, and discuss scenario signposts and to participate in the planning of scenario updates
- Semiannual update of quantitative results across all scenarios, including detailed gas and power projections, delivered each October and April
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The three scenarios are:
- The Reference Case. IHS CERA’s Reference Case scenario assumes a steady economic recovery and willingness by stakeholders to compromise on key energy policy issues that allow investors to move forward with needed investments in North America’s gas and power infrastructure.
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New Social Order. The post–baby boom generations move in a different direction as they reshape their world to manage demographic and economic changes, as well as climate change investment costs. They value social networking and more flexible and local living and working arrangements to cope with the demands of an aging population. New global industrial complexes emerge to meet the challenge of the resource requirements needed to fuel rising living standards around the world.
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Myopia. The Great Recession leaves a lasting impression on the global economy, leading to a period of New Caution and reluctance to take on unnecessary risks. Governments around the world reassert their control of the commanding heights of the economy to the detriment of long-term economic growth and the pace of technological change. Slow economic growth leads to a world of low energy and commodity prices and a reluctance to sacrifice reliability and order in favor of bold policy initiatives.
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Discounted seats at IHS CERA’s Executive Roundtables, held semiannually, and the CERAWeek Executive Conference, held in March in Houston
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Customized consulting on specific projects
- Interactive services such as on-site workshops, conference call briefings, and telephone access to IHS CERA experts
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